Wednesday, May 23, 2007

Philly Vs Florida trends

The phillies battle Florida after losing the first game of the series last night as Garcia faces Kim. Kim has been inconsistent but looked good in his first start for the fish getting the win, while Garcia has had a tough adjustment to the NL at just 1-3 on the season. While I like the phillies to rebound and get the win they have two things going against them. The fish are hot and hitting the ball very well and the phillies pen in relief has been horrible yielding an ERA over 7 in the last three games. I am passing on the side with a lean to the fish but making a play on the total in this one tonight:Under 9 +100The weather is a factor in this game has the winds are whipping in towards the plate tonight at 22mph and will keep all fly balls in the park which will help out both pitchers and thus keep the lousy philly pen at bay.

Tim Timmons is behind the plate and although is O/U is 5/4 this year he is traditionally an under umpire. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 games with the Phillies and 2-0-1 with Garcia. The under is also 5-0 in his last 5 games with the Fish.

Under is 8-3-1 in Marlins last 12 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-0-2 in Marlins last 7 games following a win.
Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

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