Using Trends to Handicap

Using Trends to Hanicap

For frequent visitors of this site and some of the others you will see that I use trends when I handicap basketball. The question I get from most people is how to I use trends? Well the answer is simple, very carefully. In fact although I look at trends everyday I may not use them and sometimes even fade them. Let’s look at a few for tonight’s NBA card.

Philadelphia: 12-3 ATS after playing as a home underdog

When you first see this stat you may be compelled to think Philadelphia may be in a good situation tonight and that very well could be the case, but you would have to take in to account that this trend may not cover when the Sixers were in back to back games or off an overtime win. In fact in the the sixers are 34-30-2 ATS in back to back games after a win. This is decent but not as good looking as the above trend.

The most important part of looking at trends is to see just what kind of role they can play to support one of your selections but do not let one trend make a selection for you.

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