NFL Week 4 Trends

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NFL bettors are expecting the Green Bay Packers to bounce back from their first setback of the season with a strong effort in Tampa Bay on Sunday.
Despite Green Bay’s poor record at Raymond James Stadium (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS in past six visits) and the losses to defensive stalwart Al Harris, the Packers are one of the most popular bets in Week 4 of the NFL season with just under 70 percent of bettors backing the Packers.
Bet Jam oddsmaker David Main says the simple fact the NFC North-leading Packers (2-1 SU) are underdogs is what’s attracting bettors. But he cautioned that the Bucs (2-1 SU), who lead the NFC South, appear to have a rejuvenated offense led by quarterback Brian Griese.
“Green Bay as the underdog will always be popular a bet, but Griese looked very comfortable in last week’s match against the Bears, completing 38 of 67 pass attempts for a total of 407 yards,” Main noted.
“As well, Green Bay has been vulnerable against the pass this season and will likely continue to struggle without Harris.”
The undefeated Denver Broncos, who are 9-point road favorites against the Kansas City Chiefs, are another popular pick in Week 4. Denver is receiving a whopping 78 percent of bets.
The Tennessee Titans - 3-point home favorites against the Minnesota Vikings - are getting 69 percent of the action.
“This is the ‘Backup QB Game,’” Main said, “with Kerry Collins and Gus Frerotte trying to continue their winning way.”
Most other public trends this weekend “are to be expected, as they’re popular favorites playing against poor teams,” Main added.
Others include: Dallas Cowboys (11-point home favorites) against NFC East rival Washington Redskins (Dallas, 57 percent of bets); winless Cincinnati Bengals (3½-point home favorites) against winless Cleveland Browns in a battle of AFC North bottom-feeders (Cincinnati, 62 percent); and Carolina Panthers (7-point home favorites) over Atlanta Falcons (Carolina, 59 percent).